Today is yet another critical Tuesday in the American presidential primary races. Voters in Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio all head to the polls today.
In the eyes of the public and the media, Ohio is worth far more than just its delegates. Notoriously critical in the general election as a swing state, Ohio is also generally a predictor of the nominees for both parties. No republican has ever lost in Ohio and gone on to win the Republican nomination. This year’s race is tight between John Kasich, who has yet to win a state, and frontrunner Donald Trump. Ohio is Kasich’s home state, and today is critical for his campaign. A loss in his home state will likely end his bid for the nomination. To add to the pressure for republican candidates, both Ohio and Florida assign all of their delegates to the winner, rather than a proportion based on votes.
For the Democrats, today is also critical. Sanders and Clinton remain close in pledged delegates and in the polls for today’s contest. Like the republican primary, the Ohio contest is also a strong predictor of which candidate will win the nomination. Week by week, the picture of this race becomes clearer. Trump and Clinton are the likely nominees, but today is critical for both candidates.